L'esperto è una tipologia di personaggio notevole. Dichiara di sapere tutto su un qualcosa di estremamente specialistico (non come noi poveri tuttologi che non sappiamo quasi niente, ma su tutto) e avendo questo skill (direbbero i cacciatori di teste) analizza i fenomeni del suo campo con molta competenza facendo previsioni logiche e circostanziate. Poi i fenomeni accadono e sono sempre completamente diversi dalle previsioni. Immediatamente dopo, legioni di quegli esperti sono pronti a sfoderare analisi dettagliatissime che spiegano circostanziatamente come mai quei fenomeni (non previsti) sono avvenuti. Questo accade regolarmente ad esempio nelle vicende di borsa (mi raccomando la regola to do exactly the opposite way when reporting to the experts, but they are the most competent, I recommend), or immediately after the elections and in recent days by analysts of what is happening in the Arab world.
not a dog that he admits to not understanding a damn, and all there to make analysis pontificate when, in my uninformed opinion of spin doctors, the meaning of what is happening is a total darkness and impossible to interpret. Meanwhile, you can not understand how this revolt against the powers was almost contemporary. Secondly there are and continue to appear, showing items you want to steer clear the ball. The third thing, absolutely curious and it seems to me, no one points out, is that in different countries, protest movements have the same motivation to oppose the power, but opposite roots. In Egypt and Tunisia, seem to lay and build on the economic problems seem to Libya on grounds of tribal and factional fighting, and completely lack the social motivations, in the UAE to Oman instead seems strong religious component antisunnitica, Saudi Arabia dominates the demand for reform against a coveted family autocratic Syria and Lebanon stir problems decades gangrene among different groups of power in Iran even want a collapse of the fundamentalist theocracy. No one can, but neither considers it important to try to interpret these facts. It therefore remains impossible to tell what will happen next or even the immediate future. If everyone takes his own way, if you affirm weak but promising democracies or whether it will strengthen the fundamentalist position, if you will reform in different names but the same in practice, local potentates of tyrants are only interested in lining their pockets with their own clan or whole territories splits into a dangerous kind of anarchy in Somalia.
Europe, let us say, do not care while you are playing over there but perhaps its future. Taken in their local chicken houses (some certainly the most ridiculous and shameful than others) knows how to shed light only on the part of those who have interests, ghosts pro domo her, danger of invasion or further boost to terrorism, or is committed to doing the accounts for the cost oil. Meanwhile, the south side of the Mediterranean from Libya and from burns, it could also be a long thing, as the bishop who loves getting ragged by his subjects kiss his hand still seems far from being thrown off. We can do is wait until the end of the story to give way to the experts believed that Egypt and Tunisia, two of the most solid and successful schemes in the area, to explain how what happened was absolutely inevitable and expected, and what we should do.
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